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Bob Tempest
Monday, October 20, 2008 10:29
The Maths of Proposed Housing
According to the figures given to me by the Craven Council's Valuations Office, there are 25,830 homes in the Craven area. This appears to tie up with the last cencus in 2001. The current population is growing at 0.6% per annum (Office of National Statistics), therefore this would mean 154 new houses would be needed this year. However, there appears to be approximately 1,000 homes empty in the Craven area, so this appears to blow the Councils thinking in to touch. Can anyone confirm these figures

Thanks - Bob Tempest
Paul Wilkinson
Monday, October 20, 2008 11:04
Hi Bob, that's an excellent point. Revising the growth figure to 0.7% per annum gives a figure of 180, which matches CDC's original RSS figure. For some reason, CDC increased this to 300 in 2007 but the Secretary of State set it to an indicative figure of 250, which CDC accepted providing "indicative" meant "minimum". It's now back to an "indicative" extra 50, taking it to 300.

I suspect we are cogs connected to a much bigger wheel and something else is turning the bigger wheel. Round one of the "Growth Point" shenanigans was rolled out in the South East of England approximately two years ago. Round two is now rolling it out nationally.
Bob Tempest
Monday, October 20, 2008 12:03
Well if the figures are right then we appear to have 5 years supply of houses already.
Paul Wilkinson
Monday, October 20, 2008 12:11
For local needs yes, but as I understand it, Growth Points et al are a dispersal mechanism.
Monday, October 20, 2008 16:02
Sorry Webmaster but no we might not have the right supply of houses to meet our local need. Nobody can tell because the housing needs assessment was done so badly. We might have the right number but not the right type i.e. enough 3 beds to meet our young families needs at a price (rental or sale) that they can afford. Until the Housing Needs Assessment is redone accurately its like pulling figures out of a hat!
Paul Wilkinson
Monday, October 20, 2008 16:21
Fair comment John. One of our gripes is that planning decisions should be made locally, in response to local needs.
Bob Tempest
Tuesday, October 21, 2008 16:16
The land ear marked for building work will not be cheap, if a farmer has to sell his livelyhood and his children's etc... Anyone know how much a low cost 2 bedroomed house would cost??? After all... no point in even going down this road if the houses will be too dear.....

Also can anyone tell me how many homes have been passed by planning but not started yet??

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